On the environmental impact
The wells, which head 7,000+ feet into the ground, are all going to have to be cased wells. This protects the local water tables from any sort of leeching contamination. In general, there are few contaminates that come from the fractional mining anyway. However, the waste water can contain a radioactive isotope called (I think) Thorium.
The Marcellus shale is horizontally stratified, so even after the fracturing, the shale should settle down into the same layers and should not cause subsidence.
Now, all that being said, my concerns are that the blasting and digging may cause old coal mines to collapse, which would definitely cause subsidence, and it could also cause foundation damage.
On the contracts offered
The contracts being offered by Chesapeake are the lowest that they are allowed to offer by law. While there is not legal regulation of the lease per mineral acre, I read that the current going average is $750 for speculation, $2500+ for a producing shale play. In Ft. Worth Texas, gas rights were going for as high as $25K / mineral acre.
In PA the minimum royalty rate is 12.5%, which is what was offered. They also are offering contracts with a 5 year guarantee, and then an option for them to pick up another 5 at the originally agreed upon rates if they think they can make money on the leases.
If you look around at other places where shale has gone hot, what I have found is that the communities that make the most money bargain as a collective. It's better for the people who come on board, and it's even better for the gas companies because they work against one contract instead of scattered contracts with differing terms.
The way that this works is community finds a mineral and oil rights attorney to negotiate for them. This person then takes a percentage of the lease monies, and may get residuals from the royalty payments.
They generally negotiate into any contract
- a fixed 5 year term (no additional 5 year option)
- a royalty rate that sits around 20%-25%
- a "favored nations" clause which resets the contract terms higher if a better contract is given in the area
- no surface rights (which Chesapeake offers, but you can't drill w/in 200' of a building anyway)
- any other terms deemed necessary by the community, such as free natural gas or gas at a reduced rate
What could happen if a large bargaining group does not come together is the gas company will "force pool" residents. This means that the government looks at all the contracts in the area and basically forces you into a pool of land with your neighbors. It's like eminent domain, but under ground. Under this structure you lose your bargaining rights, and depending on which wheels the gas company greases, you lose, big time.
The simple fact is that gas isn't going to get cheaper. Chesapeake is trying to get the area tied up, and may not even drill in the initial 5 years. However, sometime between now and 10 years from now they will be doing the drilling because even if the residents of Blackridge get a fair and equitable deal it will still make sense for them to drill. The entity, which has the most to gain from this I’m hoping, is the BCA. We could probably put "new roof and furnaces for the BCA, and free pool chemicals for the length of the contract" into the contract and they would pay for it. However, that's for the lawyers to work out.